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Annual house price growth edges up in March

by | Apr 2, 2024

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UK house prices up 1.6% compared with a year ago with Northern Ireland best performing region, with prices up 4.6% and the South West the weakest performing region, with prices down 1.7% over the year.

HeadlinesMar-24Feb-24
Monthly Index*523.6524.7
Monthly Change*-0.2%0.7%
Annual Change1.6%1.2%
Average Price(not seasonally adjusted)£261,142£260,420

* Seasonally adjusted figure (note that monthly % changes are revised when seasonal adjustment factors are re-estimated)

Commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief Economist, said:

 
 

“UK house prices fell by 0.2% in March, after taking account of seasonal effects. Nevertheless, the annual rate of house price growth edged higher to 1.6% in March, from 1.2% in February.

“Activity has picked up from the weak levels prevailing towards the end of 2023 but remain relatively subdued by historic standards. For example, the number of mortgages approved for house purchase in January was around 15% below pre-pandemic levels. This largely reflects the impact of higher interest rates on affordability. While mortgage rates are below the peaks seen in mid-2023, they remain well above the lows prevailing in the wake of the pandemic (as shown in the chart below).

5yr fix mtg rate Mar24

“With cost-of-living pressures easing as inflation moves back towards target, consumer sentiment is improving. Indeed, surveyors report a pickup in new buyer enquiries and new instructions to sell in recent months. Moreover, with income growth continuing to outpace house price growth by a healthy margin, housing affordability is improving, albeit gradually.

 

“If these trends are maintained, activity is likely to gain momentum, though the pace of the recovery is still likely to be heavily influenced by the trajectory of interest rates. 

All regions saw an improvement in annual rate of change in first quarter of 2024

“Our regional house price indices are produced quarterly, with data for Q1 (the three months to March) indicating that while some regions recorded annual price declines, there was an improvement in the annual rate of change across all areas (see full table on page 4).

“Northern Ireland remained the best performing area, with prices up 4.6% compared with Q1 2023. The biggest improvement in terms of annual price growth was in the North, where annual price growth picked to 4.1% in Q1 2024, making it the best performing English region.

“Across England overall, prices were up 0.4% compared with Q1 2023, while Wales saw a 1.2% year-on-year rise. Meanwhile, Scotland saw annual price growth pick up to 3.7%.

“Across northern England (which comprises North, North West, Yorkshire & The Humber, East Midlands and West Midlands), prices were up 1.7% year on year.

Annual chg Southern Northern England Mar24

“Meanwhile southern England (South West, Outer South East, Outer Metropolitan, London and East Anglia) saw a 0.3% year-on-year fall. London remained the best performing southern region with annual price growth recovering to 1.6%. The South West was the weakest performing region, with prices down 1.7% year-on-year.”

Regional annual chg Mar24

Quarterly Regional House Price Statistics (Q1 2024)

Please note that these figures are for the three months to March, therefore will show a different UK average price and annual percentage change to our monthly house price statistics.

Regions over the last 12 months

RegionAverage price(Q1 2024)Annual % chg this quarterAnnual % chg last quarter
N Ireland£181,3034.6%4.5%
North£158,5434.1%-0.8%
Scotland£179,1483.7%0.5%
North West£209,5482.9%-1.0%
Yorks & The H£200,9582.4%-0.5%
London£519,5051.6%-2.4%
Wales£202,5331.2%-1.9%
East Midlands£229,4580.5%-3.2%
West Midlands£236,006-0.2%-2.8%
Outer Met£414,477-0.6%-3.6%
Outer S East£328,544-1.0%-4.5%
East Anglia£268,778-1.3%-5.2%
South West£297,228-1.7%-2.9%
UK£260,7911.0%-2.3%
UK Fact File (Q1 2024)
Quarterly average UK house price£260,791
Annual percentage change1.0%
Quarterly change (seasonally adj.)1.2%
Most expensive regionLondon
Least expensive regionNorth
Strongest annual price changeNorthern Ireland
Weakest annual price changeSouth West

Nations summary table

NationsAverage price(Q1 2024)Annual % chg this quarterQuarterly % chg
N Ireland£181,3034.6%-0.6%
Scotland£179,1483.7%0.9%
Wales£202,5331.2%1.2%
England£297,9780.4%0.0%

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