Saving £300 a month for 40 years still leaves Brits £206,000 short of a comfortable retirement

Unsplash - Piggy Bank

Putting money into a savings account feels like the safe and sensible thing to do. But new research from Investing.co.uk suggests that for millions of savers, inflation is quietly eating through their returns and then chewing into the deposit itself.

The study took a deposit of £19,214 and tracked what would happen to it over 40 years at three different rates, 2.15%, 3.15% and 4.15%, adjusting for a weighted UK inflation figure of 2.93% drawn from the past four decades of price data.

YearAnnual return assumptionAt 2.15%At 3.15%At 4.15%
2035Amount gained after interest £4,604.12£7,103.30£9,862.29
Amount lost due to inflation £5,967.37£6,593.51£7,284.75
Net amount gained after inflation and interest -£1,363.24£509.79£2,577.55
Real value of the average balance £17,850.76£19,723.79£21,791.55
2045Amount gained after interest £10,311.50£16,832.64£24,786.78
Amount lost due to inflation £12,941.27£15,799.54£19,285.90  
Net amount gained after inflation and interest -£2,626.77£1,033.10£5,500.88
Real value of the average balance £16,584.23£20,247.10£24,714.88
2055 Amount gained after interest £17,368.51£30,158.87£47,371.80  
Amount lost due to inflation £21,192.93£28,588.56£38,555.43  
Net amount gained after inflation and interest -£3,806.43£1,570.30£8,816.37 
Real value of the average balance £15,407.57£20,784.30£28,030.37  
2065Amount gained after interest £26,156.84£48,411.72£81,549.20 
Amount lost due to inflation £31,056.45£46,289.96£68,972.79 
Net amount gained after inflation and interest -£4,899.60£2,121.76£12,576.63
Real value of the average balance £14,314.40£21,335.76£31,790.63

A saver at 2.15% would see the balance climb from £19,214 to about £45,371 across those four decades. That sounds like growth. Strip out inflation and it is anything but.

Interest brings in roughly £4,600 in the first 10 years, but rising prices claw back about £6,000 over the same stretch, which means the saver is already going backwards before that first decade is out.

By year 40 the total interest earned comes to about £26,000, and inflation has taken back roughly £31,000. The deposit that looked like it had more than doubled has actually lost close to £5,000 in real purchasing power.

At 3.15% the account keeps its head above water, but only just. The real gain after the first decade is roughly £510, and after 40 full years it reaches just £2,122. That is on total interest of about £48,412, which means inflation has eaten 96% of the lot. 

Only at 4.15% does a saver start to pull clearly ahead of rising prices, though even here the numbers are sobering. The account stands at about £100,763 after four decades, with roughly £81,549 in total interest. Inflation consumes about £69,000 of that haul. For every pound earned, roughly 85p goes straight to rising prices.

In terms of what the money will actually buy, the real balance after four decades sits at about £31,791, more than double what the saver at 2.15% ends up with.

Annual returnRequired pot for a comfortable retirementPot with £100/monthShortfall from the required pot (at £100/month)Pot with £300/monthShortfall from the required pot (at £300/month)
2.15%£842,177.69£121,352.78£720,824.91£273,316.64£568,861.05
3.15%£751,816.14£163,610.72£588,205.42£355,580.72£396,235.42
4.15%£675,064.26£223,489.32£451,574.94£468,941.12£206,123.14

One of the biggest factors in retirement planning has been the gap between what people save and what they will actually need. Pensions UK’s Retirement Living Standards puts a comfortable annual income at £43,900, and funding 25 years of that at 2.15% demands a pot of about £842,000.

A saver who puts away £100 a month at that rate for the full 40 years would accumulate roughly £121,000, which is about £721,000 short. Saving £300 a month instead pushes the pot to roughly £273,000, which still leaves a gap of about £569,000.

A rate of 3.15% brings the required pot down to about £752,000, which helps a little, but not nearly enough for most people. Someone saving £100 a month at that rate for 40 years would accumulate roughly £164,000, and even trebling to £300 a month gets the pot only as far as £356,000. That still leaves a gap of close to £396,000.

Even at 4.15%, in the best-case scenario of saving £300 a month, Brits would still be £206,123.14 short of a comfortable retirement. 

Toby Robinson, CEO of Investing.co.uk, says the gap between what savers see on screen and what their money can actually buy has gone unnoticed for far too long. “People see the number go up and assume they are getting ahead,” he said. “At the rates most accounts are paying right now, they are not. They are falling behind.”

The retirement figures are where it really hits home, Robinson believes. “You can put away £300 a month for your entire career and still fall hundreds of thousands short of what you need. Getting out of a sub-inflation account and into something that gives your savings a fighting chance is the single most practical step.

“You can do that by moving some savings into accounts that track higher interest rates, using tax-efficient wrappers like ISAs, or gradually shifting long-term money into diversified investments. Steps like these can help returns keep pace with rising prices.”

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